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The device involved in the study is a small, lightweight sensor worn in the horse’s saddle cloth that functions as an inertial measurement unit (IMU), combined with global positioning system (GPS) technology. It measures acceleration and movement in multiple directions and records approximately 2,400 data points per second. This allows the system to capture minute details of stride mechanics - such as symmetry, impact force, and limb movement patterns - that are far too subtle and too fast to be detected by the human eye, especially at racing speeds.
An algorithm processes the stride data and compares it to patterns collected from thousands of sound, high-performing horses and from those that later suffered fatal musculoskeletal injuries. Based on this comparison, each horse is assigned a risk score from 1 to 6, where a score of 1 represents the lowest risk and a score of 6 indicates the highest risk of future fatal injury.
The researchers analysed stride data from 28,481 races involving 11,834 Thoroughbreds at 10 racetracks across the United States. These data were collected between July 2021 and May 2024. During this time, 74 horses were fatally injured. Statistical analysis revealed a relationship between risk score and the likelihood of injury. Horses that received the highest score of 6 represented only 0.4% of total race starts, yet they accounted for 4% of all fatalities. When compared to horses with a score of 1, horses assigned a 6 were 44 times more likely (44.6 times, to be precise) to suffer a fatal musculoskeletal injury.
The research team conducted logistic regression analyses to explore whether other factors affected injury risk. Interestingly, age was not found to be a significant predictor, meaning that older horses were not necessarily more at risk than younger ones. However, male horses (stallions and geldings) were more likely to suffer fatal injuries than females. Race distance also played a role; horses competing in shorter races were at greater risk, possibly due to higher speeds and greater peak forces on the limbs. In addition, fatal injuries occurred more frequently on dirt and turf tracks than on synthetic all-weather surfaces.
These findings align with previous research showing that surface type and speed can influence limb loading and injury rates. They also reinforce the idea that many racing injuries are not sudden or random events. Necropsy studies have previously shown that as many as 93% of horses that suffered catastrophic injury had evidence of a pre-existing bone abnormality, such as microfractures or maladaptive bone remodelling. This new sensor technology provides a way to detect the biomechanical consequences of those underlying problems before they reach a critical point.
Dr Warwick Bayly, lead researcher and professor in WSU’s College of Veterinary Medicine, believes this technology could be used as a preventative screening tool. Horses identified as high-risk could undergo detailed veterinary examination, including lameness assessments and advanced diagnostic imaging (such as MRI or CT scanning if appropriate). Trainers and veterinarians could then adjust training intensity, allow additional rest, or pursue treatment before a catastrophic breakdown happens.
The technology was originally tested at WSU’s Hitchcock Research Racetrack - the only dedicated university-based racetrack in the USA - before being expanded to major racing venues including Saratoga, Belmont, Keeneland, Churchill Downs and Emerald Downs. Its success is part of a wider effort to improve racehorse welfare. Since 2009, raceday fatality rates in the U.S. have dropped from 2 deaths per 1,000 starts to 1.32 in 2023. While this is significant progress, every fatality is devastating for the horse, the people involved, and the public perception of the industry.
By identifying at-risk horses early and intervening, this technology has the potential to reduce fatal injuries, making it a promising and ethically important step forward in the future of horse racing science.
For more details, see:
Mc Sweeney, Denise, Yuan Wang, Scott E. Palmer, Mikael Holmströem, Kevin D. Donohue, Kelly D. Farnsworth, Macarena G. Sanz, David H. Lambert, and Warwick M. Bayly.
Thoroughbreds deemed to be most at risk by inertial measurement unit sensors suffered a fatal musculoskeletal injury at a higher rate than other racehorses
Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association (2025) published online ahead of print






